Looking through old emails I sent
among the ones which were still marked as unread, I found this one, showing that I expected the crash in the housing bubble at least as far back as mid-September 2002. I put the relevant section in bold font: Received: from [198.180.161.1] by web20909.mail.yahoo.com via HTTP; Tue, 17 Sep 2002... Sign in to see full entry.