Comments on Reflections on the Middle East…Part VII

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It'll be interesting to see what revolutions Egypt will be most like.

posted by FormerStudentIntern on February 14, 2011 at 5:04 PM | link to this | reply

If India's successful democracy is a good example...
there is no reason why the Egyptians, or for that matter, many other countries, cannot eventually become democaratic over time, especially as the older generation dies off and the younger ones rise. True it'll be different shades of democracy, and true it might take several generations, but the Egyptians, especially the young ones, are on the right track. Naut, you & I will probably not live to see that day, but our kids will !! Best, Ash 

posted by ash_pradhan on February 13, 2011 at 4:59 PM | link to this | reply

Nautikos
Well it would surprise the hell out of me if all of a sudden you became optimistic about Arabs anywhere.

posted by WileyJohn on February 13, 2011 at 2:48 PM | link to this | reply

I suspect it will become a god fight for instituting a doctrine as opposed to a democratic society! The Brotherhood unnerves me! Shelly   

posted by sam444 on February 13, 2011 at 10:04 AM | link to this | reply

Polls can be misleading
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/02/02/us-egypt-islam-poll-idUSTRE7116ND20110202
"Collected in April and May of last year for Pew's Global Attitudes Project, the report described Muslim attitudes about religion in politics in seven countries -- Egypt, Indonesia, Jordan, Lebanon, Nigeria, Pakistan and Turkey.
A sample group of 1,000 was surveyed in face-to-face interviews."
1,000 citizens does not a majority make in Egypt..

posted by Raye09 on February 13, 2011 at 9:39 AM | link to this | reply

I'm very skeptical, too, and hoping, hoping I'm wrong.  I'm beginning to rely on you instead of Charles Krauthammer for my daily Mid-East update (he's in full agreement with you).

posted by juliah on February 13, 2011 at 2:33 AM | link to this | reply

For the moment there is jubilation Naut and I hope history will not repeat itself.

posted by shobana on February 13, 2011 at 12:09 AM | link to this | reply

So now we wait...will history repeat itself? Unfortunately it is the most likely scenario. Great post, Nautikos!

posted by adnohr on February 12, 2011 at 8:53 PM | link to this | reply

Yeah well... everyone wants them to succeed, but will they?  I am afraid I have to side with Naut on this... their succeeding in achieving a democracy is not likely if we are going to listen to history... all revolutions claim they want the good of their people... and I am sure at the very beginning, most of the participants do.  Naive as they seem to us now, the Rusians really thought they were striving for a better future when they fought and defeated the Zcar and the Cubans... well they cried tears of joy when Castro at the United Nations said that their revolution was not red but green as the palm trees that adorned their island... ( right loll) .  I guess believing things will turn out, having hope, is what makes us human after all, but unfortunately, history's lessons are enough to jade the naivest of optimists ... I for one wish them luck,  because if they should turn crazy like the Iranians  it would be World War III eventually... and I will shut up  now :-)  I am depressing myself.  Another excellent post Naut xoxoxo

posted by Sinome on February 12, 2011 at 7:18 PM | link to this | reply

No one can know where this not quite bloodless revolution will end but

it is wonderful what has happened so far and it is wonderful to see people returning to clean up the mess left by so many millions in one spot together for so long. The pride seems so genuine.

It seems that Israel is cautiously optimistic and if the people are to succeed, then to little me, it seems that we should follow their lead and be helpful rather than critical.

I want them to succeed so much that I can almost taste it.....and no I presume it won't be democracy as we say we know it...well actually is democracy the same for you as when you were young....I don't feel that it is for me. Sorry I nearly wrote a post.

posted by Kabu on February 12, 2011 at 6:05 PM | link to this | reply