This article forms part of a wider political and security analysis in the Great Lakes Reagion (GLR) of East and Central Africa, by this author. It focuses particularly on the future of the Republic of Rwanda, which is just emerging from the orgy effects of the 1994 genocide that claimed nearly a million lives, maily Tustis.
The incumbent president Paul Kagame, who toppled the last Hutu president Habyarima and set to posture as a reconciling figure between Hutus and Tustis now faces the challenge of democratic dictates, where majority take the day.
Its unlikely that in a proper functioning democracy, another Tutsi will assume power after Kagame in 2017. But its of interest to forecast how the minority Tutsis will most likely fare under a new Hutu president.
Despite Kagame's government being largely a western-client regime because of complying with many of their regional geo-strategic interests, it's seen as unsustainable in the long-run on a democratic principle.
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