Seven reasons for Uganda to oppose South Sudan secession

By 121969

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A News Analysis

G

eneral elections in Sudan are over. Next in implementing the 2005 Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) is a referendum to determine whether the Southern region secedes or remains part of a united Sudan. The exercise is tentatively due January 2011, a period too busy for Uganda to pay more attention to it than to its own presidential and parliamentary election. But it’s very important that political actors in Uganda factor Southern Sudan into both their domestic and regional or foreign policies.

F

irst Uganda played a key role in ending the 22-year conflict in Southern Sudan against the north-principally for the dignity of black Sudanese. Since 2005 however, several regional and international dynamics seem to have influenced a shift of Uganda’s stance from one that initially favored secession to one promoting unity of the two Sudanese regions; north and south.

Today’s state of affairs is such that Uganda has to take a bold step to either choose regional stability by openly supporting unity in Sudan or inviting fresh regional instability by siding with the secessionist theorists, who apparently are after their own interests and not necessarily black peoples’.  


Excerpt

" Now that there is semblance of mutual diplomatic communication, the new regime in Khartoum would conclude oil concessions with some Western oil corporates, rather than only China.  This would make better business sense in a stable, rather than chronically conflict prone Sudan."

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