Go to ADMIT GLOBAL WARMING AND DO SOMETHING ABOUT IT!
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- Go to SOME SAY THIS IS NOT A RECORD TORNADO SEASON -- NOAA SAYS DIFFERENTLY
Hey .... just a thought ...
A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions is expected during June-July 2008. I'm thinking the weather is going to get crazy and global bullchit warming has nothing to do with it. There's more on this phenomena, but I don't have time to copy and paste the research - a simple google search will get you there.
posted by
VictoriaP
on June 15, 2008 at 1:10 PM
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If you're going to try and refute me, at least be honest about what I wrote
You opined, “Our resident Global Warming debunker has ridiculed those who have related Global Warming to the increased number of tornadoes this season by referring to NOAA and saying that certain data tell us that the increase is not so.”
Absolutely false – or, to use a pet Xenoxism, unreliable.
In my analysis of NOAA statistics at http://www.blogit.com/Blogs/Blog.aspx/WriterofLight9282/543479, I identified errors in how ABC’s analysis and how it was reporting this season compared to last year’s. I also pointed out the decrease in confirmed tornadoes from 2005 through 2007. At http://www.blogit.com/Blogs/Blog.aspx/WriterofLight9282/543913, I also identified errors in CBS’ analysis.
At no point did I state that the decrease from 2005 through 2007 continued into this year; what I did do was explain the difference between preliminary reports and confirmed tornadoes.
You then attempt to disprove my post at http://www.blogit.com/Blogs/Blog.aspx/WriterofLight9282/550482 concerning the cooler than normal spring in the U. S.
You apparently don’t grasp the fact that drought and warmth are not necessarily related. Indeed: A comparison of the two charts in the above post shows that several states had both cooler than normal and dryer than normal weather in the period reported. Which comes back to my question: Is “global warming” global, or isn’t it?
You also fail to note that the exceptionally heavy rains of the past couple of months, to which I presume you are referring by “all the rain and storms,” have been Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois and Indiana. Note that in your two charts, any drought conditions in those states no longer exist, and that they are diminished in several other states.
There’s also an inconsistency between your headline, SOME SAY THIS IS NOT A RECORD TORNADO SEASON -- NOAA SAYS DIFFERENTLY, and your link to NOAA, “tornado season could be record,” but I’m applying your own “98% generally unreliable” standard. By that standard, I count six points up for grabs. Your score on the Xenox Scale?
- Citing what I wrote about the increased tornadic activity: UNRELIABLE
- Headline implying NOAA predicts that this will be a record season: UNRELIABLE
- Presenting NOAA prediction that this may be a record tornado season: RELIABLE
- Implying that drought can occur only in warmth: UNRELIABLE
- Presenting NOAA comparative data about drought conditions: RELIABLE
- Ignoring elimination of drought in areas affected by heavy rains by stating that drought conditions remain “after all the rain and storms”: UNRELIABLE
That gives you a 67% score on the Xenox unreliability scale. 
C’mon, you can do better than this!
posted by
WriterofLight
on June 14, 2008 at 8:32 PM
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