Ready, Fire, Aim! - Mihail's Public Blog: Housing market correction predicted

Tuesday, June 21, 2005

Housing market correction predicted

According to this San Francisco Chronicle story, economists at the UCLA Anderson Forecast are releasing a report today that predicts a housing bubble correction by the end of next year:

The reason? Home values simply have flown too high, too fast. In California, for example, home prices have vaulted 70 percent in the past five years, compared with 55 percent in the mid-1970s and 45 percent in the late 1980s.

"Prices are not associated with reality," said UCLA economist Christopher Thornberg, whose paper on the state's economy is subtitled "Beware the Froth!" Home buyers "are gambling on massive amounts of appreciation, and it's not worth the price compared to the rental value. It's a house of cards."

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